Northern Illinois at San Jose State

Northern Illinois scored 24 at UNLV on October 31 and still lost, its eighth defeat in eight games this season. The Huskies have scored 23, 21 and 24 in three of their last four, and the defense behind those scores allows 37.6 points and 433.8 yards per game. All eight opponents have scored at least 28 on it, and the last three scored 41, 56 and 31. San Jose State averages 19.9 points, 123rd in the FBS, and its nine games have totaled 68 once and no more than 50 in the other eight. The run game is where that changes. San Jose State gains 120.4 rushing yards per game, 113th in the FBS, and Northern Illinois allows 218.8 on the ground. San Jose State's defense is 53rd at 22.3 points allowed. It gave up 28 at Nevada and 21 to New Mexico in its last two games. At this price, our bankroll needs the OVER to win a little more than half the time. Northern Illinois gets its share too, and I'm taking the OVER.