Northern Illinois at Massachusetts

Northern Illinois couldn't get anything going against Toledo last week, but the trends are in its favor as it takes on winless Massachusetts. The Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their past eight games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game, and they are 7-3 ATS after totaling fewer than 100 yards rushing. UMass is 2-6 ATS as an underdog, and the Minutemen have lost 18 straight against MAC opponents. Northern Illinois is 13-1 ATS on weekdays against teams in revenge. The Huskies won last year's meeting 34-20. UMass only averages 11.3 points per game, and it is 2-7 ATS this season. The Minutemen have lost 13 games in a row, dating back to last season, and they haven't beaten an FBS team since 2023. Lay the points with Northern Illinois.