This pick was released to clients on December 14, 2023 at 12:01PM ET.
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New Mexico State vs. Fresno State

December 16, 2023
img5:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 51.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN

New Mexico State has some offensive concerns coming into the New Mexico Bowl. QB Diego Pavia is expected to play although he's battling shoulder injury. Second-leading WR Trent Hudson (551 yards, 10 TDs) won't play after hitting the transfer portal, and third-leading WR Eli Stowers has battled concussion problems. New Mexico State is on a 9-3 run UNDER the total. Fresno State coach Jeff Tedford stepped down and linebackers coach Tim Skipper will be the interim head coach for this bowl. Sophomore QB Mikey Keene has thrown nine TDs and seven interceptions over the last seven games. They lost four of those with the offense averaging 18 points in the defeats. The young quarterback doesn't get much help from a running game that is 116th in the nation in rushing while averaging just 3.7 yards per carry. College football teams like Fresno with a winning record off an upset loss as a favorite are 83-40 UNDER the total when facing a winning team where the total is between 49.5 and 56. Take New Mexico State/Fresno State UNDER the total.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New Mexico State Aggies
0
3
7
0
10
Fresno State Bulldogs img
10
7
3
17
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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