Nevada at Penn State

James Franklin still has trouble winning the big games, but this one isn't close to qualifying in that category, and the Nittany Lions should roll up the score in this matchup. Drew Allar is back after throwing for 3,327 yards and 24 touchdowns in 2024. He has three talented transfers for targets, including Kyron Hudson, Devonte Ross, and Trebor Pena, to offset the loss of All-American tight end Tyler Warren. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their past seven games as non-conference favorites of at least 28 points. They return nine offensive starters, including four linemen. Penn State has covered the spread in four straight Week 1 games, and it is on a 6-2 ATS run as a favorite. Nevada has totaled just seven wins in three seasons, and it finished 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games in 2024. Only six starters return from that squad, which may or may not be a good thing. Chubba Purdy enters the season as the Wolf Pack's starting quarterback, but redshirt junior A.J. Bianco will be ready to step in if Purdy falters. Nevada allowed 29 points per game last year, and Penn State averaged 33 points. The Nittany Lions went OVER five of their last seven games. Lay the points with Penn State and bet the OVER.