Nevada at North Dakota State

I had the OVER when North Dakota State visited UNLV last Saturday, and it finished 13-7 for UNLV. North Dakota State is 5-1 and allows 10.3 points per game, second among the 138 FBS teams. It has held five of six opponents to 13 or fewer, and the exception was 32 at Air Force. Its six games have totaled 40, 38, 70, 41, 28 and 20 points on 122 combined plays per game, and the Bison hold the ball 31.5 minutes a game. North Dakota State scores 29.2 per game, 70th, and it scored 28 on Wyoming and 7 at UNLV. Nevada is 2-3 after a 30-13 win at UTEP last Saturday, where it ran 51 times and held the ball 35.4 minutes. It lost to Montana State by 13, Middle Tennessee by 7, and Air Force by 3. It has turned the ball over nine times, and North Dakota State has taken the ball away 12 times. With the Wolf Pack allowing 22 points per game, tied for 57th, my plays Saturday night are Nevada with the points and the UNDER.