Navy at Missouri

Texas Bowl - Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX. This is a very difficult spot for the Tigers. They have a lot of young players and will be facing a Military Academy for the first time in the four years of this senior class. Regardless of how much time you have to prepare for the triple option, it never is the same as facing it and seeing it for the first time live. Navy will be absolutely electrified to be playing in Texas. The big reason is that Navy recruits the heaviest in Texas. They have over 20 players on the roster from the state. What has that meant? Navy is 9-2 ATS in the state of Texas and it is a trip home for kids that don't get to spend much time with family and friends. The 11 games has shown a winning margin ATS of over 20 points per game. So, it's obvious that this team gets jacked up to play in Texas. This disciplined Navy team has won or covered four of their last five Bowl games. The one loss was last year vs. a team they played in the regular season, which had experience with the option. That isn't the case here. With this one in the Lone Star state, Navy will be hard to stop. Missouri's biggest weakness is their pass defense. While you wouldn't think that would matter much against Navy, it does. The Midshipmen thrive vs. such weak pass defenses as they are 15-5 ATS int heir last 20 road games vs. teams that allow 62%+ completions. I like Navy here.