Arkansas State has won five of seven, including 30-29 over Appalachian State in the regular-season finale. Jaylen Raynor threw for 363 yards and three TDs against the Mountaineers, and he has totaled 3,073 yards passing with 16 TDs this season. The Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS after allowing more than 450 yards in their previous game. Missouri State comes into the game having lost two in a row while yielding 83 points to Kennesaw State and Louisiana Tech. The Bears will be missing their coach as Ryan Beard has moved on to Coastal Carolina. Offensive coordinator Nick Petrino will be the interim head coach. Missouri State is 7-5 in its first season as an FBS school. The Bears likely will be without three defensive backs due to injuries and transfers. Arkansas State is on a 5-1-1 ATS run. Missouri State lost to Louisiana Tech on Nov. 29 while allowing a whopping 388 yards rushing on 7.6 yards per carry. Take Arkansas State.
This pick was released to clients on December 16, 2025 at 9:55AM ET.
Missouri State vs. Arkansas State
December 18, 2025
2 units on Arkansas State PICK (-106) (risk 2 to return 3.89)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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