Mississippi State at Texas A&M

Mississippi State is a run-oriented offense that chews up yards and the clock at #13 in the nation in rushing with 264.6 yards per game. And the defense is playing well at #18 in points allowed (17.9 points per game). Mississippi State's offense has been strong at home but bad on the road, scoring 3 and 10 points in SEC road losses to Georgia and Auburn. They come off a blowout 45-7 win at home over Kentucky, but the Bulldogs are 12-5 UNDER after scoring 40+ points in their previous game. They are also 16-5 UNDER after getting less than 170 yards passing the previous game. They face a Texas A&M defense that is on a roll, allowing 17, 27 and 17 points the last three games. The 27 allowed was to #1 Alabama and last week they topped Florida as a dog, 19-17. Texas A&M is 15-5-1 UNDER the total on natural grass and this shapes up as an SEC defensive slugfest. Play the UNDER.