Minnesota at Indiana

Minnesota beat Iowa 13-10 last Saturday, totaling 209 yards, and the Gophers ran for 72 yards on 35 carries. Indiana's defense allows 12 points a game, second in the country, and 73.1 rushing yards a game at 2.1 yards per carry. Minnesota averages 100.1 rushing yards a game, 132nd nationally, and its two losses this season came by 25 and 28 points. A team that can't run the ball has no way to shorten a game against that front, so it will be stuck chasing. Indiana is 7-1 and 1-7 against the spread. On the other side, Minnesota's defense gives up 123.6 rushing yards a game at 3.8 per attempt. I expect Indiana's offense to take advantage of that. The Hoosiers run for 191.5 yards a game at 5.5 per carry, and Turbo Richard leads them with 711 rushing yards. Indiana will be on the field longer, and Minnesota will have fewer chances to find the yardage it needs. Lay the points with Indiana.