This pick was released to clients on November 13, 2025 at 11:28AM ET.
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Middle Tennessee State at Western Kentucky

November 15, 2025
img3:30 PM Eastern

A two-touchdown underdog playing in a rivalry that is called "The 100 Miles of Hate" is worth taking. That's what we have here with Middle Tennessee State against favored Western Kentucky. Middle Tennessee State can throw the ball with Nicholas Vattiato—the Blue Raiders rank 47th in passing yards. Vattiato completed 70% of his passes and threw for 242 yards and three touchdowns against Florida International last week. However, Middle Tennessee State's defense did not play well in the 56-30 loss. Before that, though, the Blue Raiders had lost four consecutive games by only one score. They had covered the previous three weeks as an underdog in each game, losing by a combined eight points to Jacksonville State, Delaware, and Missouri State. Not only is Western Kentucky laying this big number in a huge rivalry game, but the Hilltoppers are using a backup quarterback, redshirt freshman Rodney Tisdale Jr. He has been filling in for injured Maverick McIvor. The Hilltoppers are heavily reliant on their passing attack, as they rank 110th in rushing. Take Middle Tennessee State.

1 unit on Middle Tennessee State +13.5 (-102) (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders
0
10
13
3
26
W. Kentucky Hilltoppers img
7
14
7
14
42
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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