Miami Florida at Florida State

This is a long standing rivalry in the state of Florida. Miami, Fla. heads to Tallahassee to take on Florida St. Statistically these teams are not a great distance apart. The one place I see hidden value on Miami is how they take command of games. The Hurricanes are getting off 13 more plays a game than their opponent, and when you have an edge of 13 plays even at just seven yards per play that is over 100 yards a game. Whatever Florida St. gained by beating Alabama 31-17, they lost it their last time out vs, Virgina in a 46-38 loss. Mimai has an iron clad defense, and allowed just 141 total yards to Florida last game. I think Miami is at least a TD better on the road, and I will make the play on Miami.