Massachusetts at Kent State

I'm backing winless Kent State here because they are at home and are playing a much worse team in winless Massachusetts. Kent State has had to deal with Virginia of the ACC and Ohio State of the Big 10 - both on the road. In fact, they are home from a tough three-game road trip and showed great effort last week in a 17-14 loss at Northern Illinois as a +25.5 dog. That was a Northern Illinois team that ran its home win streak to 28 games. Kent State QB Colin Reardon was 20-of-36 for 244 yards and carried eight times for 26 yards and a touchdown. The Golden Flashes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in October and face a UMass squad that is 0-6 and giving up 40.3 points per game - #121 in the nation. This is the fourth road game in five weeks for UMass who is giving up 557 yards (437 passing), and 47 points last week while blowing a big lead at Miami of Ohio. The Minutemen are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play Kent State.