Marshall at Florida Atlantic

This is a key showdown between the top two teams in the Conference USA East division. Marshall's three losses were by a combined 11 points, including a 31-30 loss at Appalachian State as a +7 dog. The defense has allowed an average of 11.3 points during this three-game winning streak, moving up to #23 in the nation in third-down 'D' (33%). Marshall is 9-2 ATS playing on natural grass, and the defense is allowing 17 points per game in conference action, the third-best in C-USA. Florida Atlantic comes off a 28-25 win over UTEP as an 11-point favorite, hanging on despite getting outgained 454-279. They haven't played well in the role of underdog, either, losing by 21, 24, and 17 points, the latter two as a dog of +3.5 each time while losing to Air Force (31-7) and UAB (31-14). College football teams like Marshall that average 34+ points versus a defense that surrenders 21-28 points per game are 72-34 ATS after a game allowing 14 or fewer points, and Marshall has beaten Florida Atlantic the last three years, including a 20-9 win last October. Play Marshall.