Kent State at Toledo

Twice already this season, Toledo has lost straight-up as a double-digit favorite. It happened against Western Michigan, and it occurred again last Saturday when the Rockets surrendered 28 unanswered points and turned the ball over four times in a 28-23 road loss to Bowling Green. Toledo coach Jason Candle can't be trusted as big chalk, and with an emphasis on taking care of the football, that should extend drives and eliminate short fields. The disappointing Rockets are ninth in the  MAC standings with a 1-2 league mark and a 3-3 overall record. Kent State has its confidence up after earning its first Mid-American Conference win in three years last week by dominating Massachusetts, 42-0. The Golden Flashes are 2-4, but three of those losses came against Oklahoma, Florida State, and Texas Tech. Their other defeat was to Buffalo by three points as 24-point underdogs. Kent State is 4-2 ATS, and seven of its past 12 games have stayed UNDER the total. Dru DeShields has started the last four games for Kent State and has completed 58 percent of his passes for 790 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception. The Golden Flashes also have a dangerous return man, Da’Realyst Clark. He ranks second in the nation with 289 kickoff return yards and two touchdowns. Take the generous points with Kent State, and play this game to stay UNDER the total.