Kansas at TCU

Kansas beat Baylor 25-24 on October 24, with Isaiah Marshall throwing for 212 yards and Dylan Edwards running for 156. TCU lost 24-20 at home to West Virginia that same day, its third loss in four games. Both teams are 3-4 overall and 1-3 in the Big 12, so the records don't separate them. TCU allows 13.9 points per game to Kansas's 24. That figure comes from three games in which the Horned Frogs gave up 7, 7, and 6. In the other four, they allowed 15, 21, 17 and 24. Kansas has the better offense, scoring 31.0 points per game on 6.2 yards per play, compared with 23.4 and 5.9 for TCU. TCU scored 13, 10, 17 and 20 in its last four, averaging 15 points, and it has finished with 20 or fewer in five of its seven games. Kansas hasn't had that trouble lately, with 55, 24, 24 and 25 in its last four. Those four came against Middle Tennessee, Utah, Kansas State and Baylor. TCU's three wins have come by 56, 24 and 11. Its four losses came by 5, 8, 7, and 4, so this team has rarely pulled away from anyone with a real offense. Kansas has put up at least 24 in four straight, and TCU has averaged 15 across the same stretch. That is why I'm backing the Jayhawks with the points.