This pick was released to clients on September 25, 2025 at 12:13PM ET.
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Hawaii at Air Force

September 27, 2025
img4:00 PM Eastern

Hawaii is averaging 236.5 yards passing while rotating QBs Luke Weaver and Micah Alejado. They beat Stanford, 23-20, and come off a 23-21 loss to Fresno State as an underdog, missing a 2-point conversion in the final seconds. Hawaii is on a 12-8-1 ATS run. Air Force has lost two straight, allowing 49 points in each game to Utah and Boise State. They were favored over Utah, but lost, 49-30, allowing 473 yards while turning it over three times. Their turnover margin ranks 125th in the country, while the defense is 133rd in yards surrendered (532.5 per game). Hawaii upset the Falcons in their last meeting, 27-13, as a +20 underdog with Air Force on an 8-14-1 ATS run. Play Hawaii. 

1.5 units on Hawaii +6.5 (-103) (risk 1.5 to return 2.96)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors img
14
3
7
20
44
Air Force Falcons
7
0
7
21
35
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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