Georgia State at Georgia Southern

Georgia State has a losing record and the defense away from home is allowing 35.8 points. Georgia State has had some terrible games against good offenses, allowing 61 points to Oregon, a 37-3 loss to Appalachian State and giving up 48 at Arkansas State. They face a powerhouse Georgia Southern team (20-7 ATS run) that is 10-0 at home under head coach Willie Fritz. Georgia Southern at home is averaging 47.8 scoring, and holding teams to 17.2 points scored. Georgia Southern is already Bowl eligible at 8-3 overall, 5-1 in the Sun Belt, and coming off a 55-17 win over South Alabama. Georgia Southern is 5-1 ATS against a team with a losing record, plus 15-3 ATS on grass. Georgia Southern is also 5-2 OVER the total on natural grass, while the Georgia State Panthers are 7-3 OVER following a spread win. Take Georgia Southern and the OVER.