Georgia State at Appalachian State

Georgia State allowed 49, 38 and 31 points in its last three games, all losses, for 39.3 a game. The Panthers have given up 213 points through eight games, 26.6 a game, while scoring 33.9 a game. They have scored 30 or more in six of those eight. App State was held to 3 points by Old Dominion and again by Georgia Southern. In between, the Mountaineers won 35-32 at Coastal Carolina and 34-31 over James Madison in overtime. Their 27-24 win at East Carolina earlier in the season made three wins by exactly three points. App State is scoring 26.8 a game across the eight, and its defense has allowed 181 points in those games, 22.6 a game. Last season App State beat Georgia State 41-20 in Atlanta. Our bankroll needs the OVER to land a little more than half the time. Georgia State's offense has reached 20 in every game, and App State's defense has allowed 41, 32 and 31 in three of them, so I'm on the OVER Saturday afternoon.