Florida State at Miami Florida

Florida State was outgained 537 to 362 at Louisville last Friday and lost 44-20. It is 3-3 and allows 25.3 points per game, 84th among the 138 FBS teams, and 410 yards. It gave up 50 at Alabama, 27 to SMU and 44 at Louisville in its three losses. It has lost the ball eight times in six games and taken it away five. Miami is 5-0 and has not played since beating Clemson 41-13 on October 3, so it comes in off two weeks between games. Miami scores 49.6 points per game and allows 9.8, first in both among the 138 FBS teams. It has won by 39, 70, 13, 49 and 28, and it has outgained all five opponents, gaining 555 yards per game and allowing 250. Its closest game was a 33-20 win at Wake Forest, where it outgained the home team 378 to 334. Central Michigan gained 158 yards against it and Florida A&M 107. Miami has lost the ball twice in five games and taken it away six times, and it holds the ball 34.1 minutes per game. Florida State has lost both road games by 14 or more, and Miami is a Max Play for me on the spread Saturday night.