Florida International at Jacksonville State

I had the OVER when Jacksonville State went to Kennesaw State last week, and the 27-26 final cashed it. Jacksonville State was outgained 410 yards to 385 in that game and 369 to 302 in a 31-27 win over Georgia Southern on September 19, so two of its four wins came while it was outgained. Jacksonville State has scored at least 23 in each of its last five games, and Florida International has not allowed more than 20 in any of its five. Against its four FBS opponents, Florida International has allowed 14.5 points per game, and none has gained more than 308 yards. Florida International has outgained four of its five opponents, but its offense scores 18.8 points a game, 121st of 138, and it scored 9 and 10 points in its two losses, each with three turnovers. The three wins came with one turnover apiece, and Florida International forced three turnovers in two of them. Take Florida International with the points tonight.