Florida Atlantic at North Texas

North Texas is 5-2, and its seven games this season have averaged 73.7 combined points. Florida Atlantic is also 5-2, and its seven games have averaged 71.3 combined points. Both averages already carry the shootouts, including Florida Atlantic's 51-49 win over Rice on Saturday and North Texas's 45-44 overtime win at Tulsa. The Mean Green score 43.1 points a game and the Owls allow 34.0, which is 129th in the FBS in points allowed. Those rates sit inside the same combined figures. North Texas's three home games have averaged 62.3 combined points: 44-6 over UNLV, 63-14 over Houston Christian and 50-10 over Charlotte. The part I weigh most is that Florida Atlantic's offense changes when it leaves Boca Raton. The Owls score 30.0 points a game in their three road games and 42.8 in their four home games. Their running game averages 3.2 yards per carry, 131st in the FBS, so when the passing game stalls under Caden Veltkamp, they have no ground attack to fall back on. Take the UNDER tonight, with a road offense that has topped 24 points only once away from home.