Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State

The Indians have had a bad offense to date but Florida Atlantic's offense may be worse off. Home favorites with a terrible defense that has allowed 425 or more total yards/game, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 28-7 over the last 10 seasons. QB Nick Noce is back and he has done a good job thus far this season for the .500 Indians. Arkansas State has actually played pretty well thus far going 2-1 in conference play and appear poised to add another one in the W column here. Atlantic has been horrible and has been pummeled by each they have played outside of their lone win. A key statistic in college football is yards per play. An advantage of 2+ is meaningful and in this one we have Arkansas State with a 4.1 YPP advantage over Florida Atlantic! Two stars on Arkansas State minus the points.