Duke at North Carolina

Duke has a terrific offense, averaging 420 yards and 32.1 points behind QB Darian Mensah (25 TDs, 4 INTs) and RB Nate Sheppard (700 yards, 6.3 ypc). They've averaged 34.7 points over the last seven contests, including a 46-45 win at Clemson as a dog. North Carolina has little offensive punch after a 28-12 loss to Wake Forest. The defense surrendered 223 rushing yards to Wake Forest. The ground game averages 3.7 yards per carry. The offense ranks 129th in total yards, while the defense is 93rd on third down (42.3%). North Carolina is on an 8-21-1 ATS run. Play Duke.