Duke at North Carolina

Duke and North Carolina are tied at 3-2 in the ACC standings. Duke backup QB Grayson Loftis has had to step in but led them to a 24-21 win over Wake Forest last week. He gets help from a ground game that averages 5.2 yards per carry anchored by senior RB Jordan Waters (564 yards, 5.6 ypc) and junior Jaquez Moore (481 yards, 5.6 ypc), along with a defense that is ninth in the country in points given up (16.8 per game). Duke knocked off Clemson, 28-7, as a +12 dog. North Carolina is 1-2 SU/ATS in its last three ACC games surrendering an average of 36 points. That included a loss to Virginia (31-27) as a 24-point favorite and a loss to Georgia Tech (46-42) as 12-point chalk. North Carolina is 54th in the country in points given up (25.4 per game), 69th on third down (39.25%), and 84th in yards allowed (403.3 per game). Play Duke on the moneyline.