Duke at NC State

The Blue Devils come in losers of four of five games while NC State has won three of four. All three of those were upset dog winners and over-performance like that often leads to line value. Duke has played a tougher schedule inlcuding games against Notre Dame and Virginiah Tech. Duke is 12-3 ATS in their last fifteen road games vs. poor defensive teams like NC STate (those giving up 425+ yards per game). They are also 36-19 ATS in their last 55 road games after a road game. Under head coach David Cutcliffe, the Blue Devils are 52-39 ATS as aa dog. Back the dog here.