This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 12:27PM ET.
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Connecticut at Toledo

December 27, 2004
img5:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Game Total OVER 66 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

This will be an offensive battle featuring two of the more unknown stellar college quarterbacks in the country. The battle for the homeland features Dan Orlovsky, and Bruce Gradkowski of Toledo. Gradkowski has had a sick year (3,475 yards and 27 touchdowns). Both QBs have been central to their teams success this season and both should light up the scoreboard in this one. The Rockets are 15-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992 and 16-1 ATS after game with a 71% or better completion pct. (20 att minimum) over the last 3 seasons. In those 17 games, they won by an average of 17 points per game. UCONN is a nice story and has had a good year but the MAC will flex its bowl muscles once again here. Favorites of of 3.5 to 10 points vs. an opponenent an opponent at 60%-75% ATS off 2+ consecutive wins against the spread are a nice 78-38 (67%) over the last 10 seasons. Keep in mind that both of these QB's are seniors and will be playing in their last game. The scoreboard will light up here. Games with a total between 63.5 and 70 featuring a team off a game where 60 total points (UCONN) or more were scored facing an opponent after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored (Toledo) go OVER the total 81% of the time (25-6 since 1992). Two units on the Rockets of Toledo here, and two units over 67.

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