Colorado State at Nevada

Colorado State QB Clay Millen is injured, so the Rams turn to freshman QB Brayden Fowler-Nicolos (116 yards, 1 TD, no INTs). He has a terrific target in WR Tory Horton (427 yards, 18.6 yards per catch). College football road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 31 points per contest are 46-13 ATS after giving up 31+ points in three straight games. Nevada is favored but is on a 0-3 SU/ATS run giving up an average of 43.3 points. That included a 55-41 defeat to Incarnate Word as a home favorite. They've been outscored 130-61 over the last three games. For the season, the ground game is averaging 3.5 yards per rush and two quarterbacks have been sacked 13 times with 2 TDs, and one pick. College football home teams like Nevada that average 4.5 or fewer yards per play are 17-47 ATS after gaining 275 or fewer total yards in two straight contests. Play Colorado State.