Clemson vs. North Carolina

North Carolina has the wide-open offense, but Clemson has the defense you need to win championship games. Clemson is 18th in the nation defensively in total yards given up, 27th in points allowed (21.7 ppg), eighth versus the run, and 16th on third down. The Tigers are 33-20 UNDER the total when facing a team with a winning percentage above 75%, plus 19-7 UNDER in December. Clemson has won all three of its games against Top 20 teams and has won four in a row versus North Carolina. Clemson is on a 71-46 spread run in ACC play, 19-8 ATS on neutral fields, and 40-25 ATS against offenses that average 425+ yards. This is the first time all season that North Carolina will be facing a ranked team. North Carolina's defense is terrible, 118th in the nation in yards allowed (452.5 per game), 100th in points allowed (30.9 ppg), 98th versus the run, 112th versus the pass, and 85th on third down. North Carolina is 11-23 ATS after playing a conference game. In addition, North Carolina is 20-7 UNDER the total after winning six of seven of their last eight, while Clemson is 23-10 UNDER after a loss as a favorite. Play Clemson + UNDER the total.