Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan

Central Michigan has lost three straight, and its offense scored 14, 14 and 27 in those games. Over eight games the Chippewas are scoring 17.9 points per game, and they were held to 14 or fewer in five of them. Eastern Michigan is at 21.3 over nine games, and it scored 14 against Toledo and 20 at Ohio in its last two, so neither offense arrives in form. Eastern Michigan is 4-5 and 3-2 in the MAC, and Central Michigan is 3-5 and 1-3. Central Michigan won last year's meeting 24-13, a game that stayed well short of 40 combined points. Eastern Michigan has already won a game this season on a late 48-yard field goal at Akron. When points are this hard to come by for both clubs, that kind of finish decides who covers, and Eastern Michigan has the better offense and the better conference record. I weigh the 3.4-point per-game scoring gap heavily on the spread, and I read two offenses this thin as an UNDER. Our bankroll needs Eastern Michigan to cover a little less than half the time to show a profit. Take Eastern Michigan on the spread and the UNDER tonight.