Bowling Green at Wisconsin

Bowling Green averaged 44.4 PPG last season and bring back all-world QB Omar Jacobs who is getting hyped again. But, they face a tough Wisconsin defense here - one that gave up just 15.4 points per game last season and an incredible 7.5 PPG at home where they held opposing offenses to 2.7 yards per rush and 45.1% passing. Wisconsin at home with this much time to prepare won't let BG score 44 on this day. This total is just way too high. Games featuring a solid team from last season (outscored opponents by 10 or more points/game) and an experienced QB returning as starter have gone UNDER 75% of the time (39-13) in the first two weeks of the season over the past five seasons. One star on the UNDER here.