This pick was released to clients on September 18, 2025 at 10:19AM ET.
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Bowling Green at Louisville

September 20, 2025
img12:00 PM Eastern

Bowling Green hasn't been clicking on offense. They're averaging 3.7 yards per rush and 21.5 points. They lost they're lone road game at Cincinnati, 34-20, allowing 441 yards. Bowling Green comes off a 23-13 win over Liberty with 310 yards while going 6-of-17 on third down. Bowling Green is on a 5-8 ATS run and steps up against the ACC. Louisville has run for 342 yards (5.7 ypc) in two games and plays its third straight home game. They've won their last five at home against smaller conferences, including wins over Murray State (56-0), Eastern Kentucky (51-17), Austin Peay (62-0), and Jacksonville State (49-14), covering three of those as 28, 44, and 39-point chalk. Play Louisville. 

2 units on Louisville -26 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Bowling Green Falcons
3
0
0
14
17
Louisville Cardinals img
7
14
9
10
40
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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