Bowling Green at Cincinnati

Cincinnati almost pulled off a win over Nebraska even though the Bearcats struggled offensively, and they had a chance to win it in the final minute, but Malcolm Hartzog Jr. picked off Brendan Sorsby's pass in the end zone with 34 seconds left. Sorsby had a rough day passing, but he did have 96 rushing yards and two TDs. He will have better luck against Bowling Green's defense, which returns just one starter in Eddie George's first year as head coach. The Falcons did beat Lafayette, an FCS school, 26-7, but this obviously will be a tougher test. Bowling Green is 3-8 ATS in its past 11 games, and it has gone UNDER seven of 10. Cincinnati has gone UNDER eight of 12 and four of five home games. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with losing records, and they have stayed UNDER four of five road contests. Bowling Green is 1-6 ATS after allowing fewer than 10 points. Cincinnati returns 16 starters. Lay the points with Cincinnati and the UNDER.