Bowling Green at Buffalo

Bowling Green scored at least 24 points in each of its last three games, including a 32-31 overtime loss to Ball State last Saturday. The Falcons are 2-5 overall, and Buffalo is 4-3, with both clubs 2-1 in the MAC. Bowling Green lost 56-7 at Nebraska and 55-7 at Iowa State in September, and I give those two games little weight next to the last three. Its other three defeats came by seven, eight, and one in overtime. Quarterback Kastantin threw for 305 yards at Miami (Ohio) and 215 against Ball State. Buffalo has been outscored 179-150 across its seven games. Its passing game completes 50.7% of its throws and averages 158.6 yards a game, and opponents throw for 229.3 yards a game against its defense. Buffalo's four wins came by four, three, fifteen and seven points, the last of them in overtime against UMass. Only one of them was by more than a single score. Buffalo lost 20-17 to Western Michigan on October 3. I'm on Bowling Green with the points Saturday afternoon.