This pick was released to clients on August 28, 2025 at 1:03PM ET.
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Boise State at South Florida

August 28, 2025
img5:30 PM Eastern

Boise State will kick this season off with a long road trip to South Florida. The Broncos lost their only regular-season game on the road in 2024, and they also failed to cover at Georgia Southern in their opener as 13-point chalk, as well as in a 29-24 game at UNLV and a 17-13 win at Wyoming as a 22-point favorite. One weak spot is a pass defense that ranked 107th in yards allowed (241 per game). South Florida made huge strides in the last two seasons under coach Alex Golesh, with winning records. A lot of talent and experience returns, led by dual-threat QB Byrum Brown (836 passing yards). South Florida's offense was 34th nationally in scoring (30.8 ppg). South Florida is on a 14-10 ATS run, including 8-5 ATS as an underdog. Play South Florida. 

1.5 units on South Florida +5.5 (+100) (risk 1.5 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boise State Broncos
7
0
0
0
7
South Florida Bulls img
0
10
14
10
34
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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