Boise State at Air Force

Air Force had won nine or more games for four straight seasons (not counting the Covid season). They won just five games a year ago. They have started at 1-1 as they host Boise St. The Broncos got a wake-up call in their opener vs. Central Florida, 34-7. They lost their superstar RB to the NFL, and finding yards in the running game is going to be difficult. These teams have trended toward lower scoring games when facing each other, as none of the last three meetings saw more than 46 combined points. Boise St. has played just 4 of their last 10 games as a road favorite to the over. I like the UNDER.