Baylor at Iowa State

The Bears head into Ames on the heels of last Saturday's near upset of the Aggies at Kyle Field. Guy Morriss seems to have turned the corner with this program and has them headed towards respectability for the first time since the late eighties. ISU on the other hand, has really only played well against Iowa. One has to wonder what that really means at this juncture. They looked horrible last weekend, sitting back on their heels defensively, allowing a very average quarterback to pick them apart. They have no running game and that is going to bite them here. Over the past three seasons, the Clones are 0-8 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. And, they are 0-7 vs. teams at 75%+ straight up. Baylor may be a better team than the Huskers at this point. Home favorites at 60%-80% on the season coming off a close loss to a conference rival are just 13-41 (24%) over the last 10 seasons when facing a team with a winning record. Iowa State is 0-9 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 10+ PPG over the last 3 seasons. After watching the Clones three times this season, we are beginning to question the pre-season hype that surrounded this team. It appears to have been just that...hype. Three stars on Baylor.