Ball State at Northwestern

I had the OVER on Ball State at Kent State on September 26, and the Cardinals' 13 points sank it. Ball State is 1-4, and its win came against Stony Brook. Against its four FBS opponents, it scores 13.75 points per game and allows 43, and it has lost by 53, 36, 13, and 15. Toledo rushed for 352 yards against the Cardinals last Saturday, and they have allowed 165 rushing yards or more in all five games. Northwestern rushed for 413 yards against Penn State on October 2 and ranks 30th in points allowed at 16.75 per game. Its largest margin this season is 34, a 41-7 win over Colorado. Ball State has lost by 36 or more twice. Take Northwestern on the spread Saturday afternoon.