Army at Air Force

Air Force is quietly having another winning season. They are coming off a pair of blowout wins, 42-14 and 58-7. It's tough to prepare for and defend their option attack. This is the team that out gained Michigan State 428-324 in yards in a 35-21 loss, rolling up 279 yards rushing (7.1 yards per carry). The Falcons are unbeaten at home, on a 6-1 ATS run at home, part of a 10-4 ATS run overall. They can control the ball and the clock with this ground attack, 11-5 UNDER the total in non-conference games. Rival Army is in town, struggling to score getting 17, 14, 14, 3 and 21 points in five of their games (four losses). The Black Knights are 6-20-1 ATS on the road and 6-14 ATS on grass. Army is also 2-11 ATS away against a team with a winning home record. I can't see a lot of scoring by Army and the UNDER is 19-7 when they face a team with a winning record, plus 19-8-1 UNDER on natural grass. Army is 2-7 ATS against Air Force, so grab home field in a low-scoring tilt, like last year when Air Force rolled 23-6. Take Air Force and the UNDER.