Army at Air Force

Air Force delivered for us last week and I like them to do it again this week. After a shaky start, this team has only failed to cover the spread once in their last five games. The most similar game on their schedule to this one occured in week two when they were a 16.5 favorite over New Mexico. They covered that large number, winning 37-13. Now they get Army, a team that has won just two games all season, and covered the spread only once. They are scoring just 16.9 points per game and that average has been dropping as the season wears on. Air Force has hung over 30 per game on opponents here at home so it's hard to imagine how Army will keep up in this game. Army is coming off a bye week but that is not a positive for them as they are 7-26 ATS in their last 33 games following a bye! Meanwhile, Air Force is 8-1 ATS over the past three seasons at home when returning home from a road game. And, under head coach Trou Calhoun, they are 9-2 ATS vs. losing teams. I like Air Force to ride high to a big win.