Arizona at Texas Tech

Texas Tech's first loss of the season came at Cincinnati on October 24, 37-24. Arizona beat the same Bearcats 34-7 in Tucson on October 3. A week later, the Wildcats won 52-31 at West Virginia, with Noah Fifita throwing for 341 yards. They have scored at least 34 points in each of five straight wins since their only loss, 28-17 at BYU on September 12. Since that loss, Arizona has allowed more than 17 points in two of five games, 24 at Washington State and 31 at West Virginia. Across all seven games, Arizona is scoring 36.1 points per game and allowing 16.7. Texas Tech is scoring 35.9 and allowing 20.4, so the offenses are level and the difference sits on defense. The Red Raiders have given up 24 or more points in four of their seven games, to Oregon State, Houston, Arizona State and Cincinnati. That unit has to slow a passing attack coming off a 39-3 win over Iowa State. The price on the Wildcats pays more than their scoring run says it should, so I'm backing Arizona on the moneyline Saturday.