This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2025 at 12:44PM ET.
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Arizona State vs. Duke

December 31, 2025
img2:00 PM Eastern

Arizona State is on a 13-6 ATS run dating to last season, and head coach Kenny Dillingham just signed an extension, so things are pretty stable in Tempe as the Sun Devils head into the Sun Bowl. They have won 14 of their past 19, and the Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their past six December games and 4-0 ATS in their past four neutral-site games. Arizona State is 4-0 ATS in its past four after totaling fewer than 170 yards passing in its previous game. Duke is 0-5 ATS in its past five non-conference games, and it will face a team with many players looking to impress, as the Sun Devils will be missing several starters due to opt-outs and transfers. Arizona State QB Jeff Sims has 466 rushing yards and three TDs on 93 carries. Sims has completed 78 of 150 pass attempts for 886 yards and seven TDs with five interceptions. He has already beaten Duke three times in his career when he played at Georgia Tech. Duke has three losses as a favorite versus Georgia Tech, Connecticut, and Virginia. The Blue Devils have allowed 32.2 points per game in their past six games. Take Arizona State. 

2 units on Arizona State +3.5 (-111) (risk 2 to return 3.8)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Arizona State Sun Devils
14
10
8
7
39
Duke Blue Devils img
14
14
7
7
42
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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