Air Force at Northern Illinois

I had the OVER in Northern Illinois at Iowa on September 5, and Iowa's 40-0 win totalled 40 points. Northern Illinois has lost its three FBS games by 40, 25 and 21, and it is 137th of 138 teams in scoring at 13.75 points per game. Its yardage has climbed each week, though: 120, 308, 341 and 432, with 320 of the 432 through the air at Georgia Southern, where it scored 14 and turned the ball over twice. Illinois State beat it 28-24 at home on September 12. Air Force won its three games against FBS opponents by 6, 3, and 5. North Dakota State gained 374 yards on Air Force and scored 38, and Nevada gained 411 and scored 33. Air Force has rushed 71, 51, 70 and 59 times in its four games, and that pace produced 70 points against North Dakota State, 69 against Nevada and 23 against Navy. Northern Illinois games have totalled 40, 52, 59 and 49. I'm taking Northern Illinois on the spread and the OVER Saturday night.