Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys Point Spread Picks

Air Force has a big advantage at home, where their games are played at high altitude. That will not have an impact in this game, as Wyoming also plays at high altitude. This series, regardless of the team's records, has been dominated by Wyoming. The Cowboys own a 22-13 ATS mark in the last 35 meetings. Those numbers in the previous 13 games played vs. each other are 13-2 ATS in favor of the Cowboys. Wyoming has had no problems playing on the road here, as they are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 trips here. The Air Force defense is horrific as the Falcons are allowing just shy of 500 yards per game, on 8.1 yards per play. They allow 40ppg on the season. Wyoming defends very well, and there's no trusting the Air Force defense when they need a stop. I like Wyoming on the moneyline.

This is a big game in the Mountain West Conference as Wyoming (5-1) heads to The Air Force. This sets up almost like a Military game. Wyoming runs the ball 60% of the time averaging just 24 passes a game, and completes 14 of them. Air Force has thrown the ball an average of four times a game. That projects to 96 running plays and just 28 passes. Both teams have defended the run very well so far this season and with the ball on the ground over 80% of the time and just an average of 11 incompletions which includes both teams, there will be very few incidents of the clock stopping. Wyoming has slowed the game down vs. high-scoring teams. The Cowboys own a 32-15 mark to the UNDER when playing a team that averages 34 PPG or more. Make the play on the UNDER.

We have seen two sides to this Wyoming team this season. This team lost a lot of production from an offense a year ago that was significantly below average. That was visible in their opening season loss to Illinois where they managed just 6 points and 212 yards. They were also limited to 294 yards vs Northern Colorado. Air Force has shown strength on defense allowing just 27 total points in two games. Wyoming has a decent defense, and the better part of that defense is defending the run. The Cowboys have allowed just 336 rushing yards on 97 attempts. That should play well against an Air Force team that has thrown just 11 passes in two games, and run the option on well over 90% of their plays. I think the defenses have more to say in this one and will play the UNDER.

Wyoming stayed UNDER while barely beating Connecticut, which arguably is the worst team in the country. The Cowboys won 24-22 for their fourth UNDER in their last six games dating to last season, and Sean Chambers finished 15 of 26 for 149 yards with 2 INTs. Wyoming has the #48 defense in the country and has allowed 23.3 points per game while Air Force is #15 in yards allowed and has given up only 16.6 points per game. The Falcons have gone UNDER six of their last eight games, but they did manage to go OVER by two points in their 38-10 win over New Mexico. Air Force ran the ball a time-consuming 73 times for 408 yards and attempted just two passes. The Lobos were held to 47 yards rushing on 20 carries. The last meeting in 2019 stayed UNDER by 15.5 points as Air Force won, 20-6, and the Cowboys are 9-1-1 UNDER as road underdogs. The UNDER is 33-16-2 in Wyoming's last 50 games overall and 20-8 UNDER in conference games. Also, Air Force is 9-2 UNDER its last 11 games as a favorite. Play the UNDER for a Max Play.