Washington and Phoenix are meeting for the third time this month, and the first two both blew well past the total: a 95-75 track meet on August 9 and a 94-84 rematch two days ago, which combined for 178 points and cleared the number by a wide margin. Phoenix's defense is the throughline in both, a unit that allowed close to 88 points a night this season and gave up points from the opening tip, not just when games got out of hand late. Washington plays a deliberate, half-court identity most nights, but that tempo hasn't shown up in either of these head-to-head meetings, where the Mystics have gotten out and scored freely against a defense that can't match their pace when motivated to push it. A third meeting this close together usually means less of the feeling-out process that slows down a first quarter between two teams seeing each other for the first time, and more clean, early offensive execution from a group that already knows exactly what it wants to run. The first-half OVER is the play tonight.
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Lines & Odds
Mystics vs. Mercury Spread Picks
Get Mystics vs. Mercury point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mystics vs. Mercury game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public bets were on Washington Mystics on the -5.5 ATS. 86% of the public money was on Washington Mystics to win on the moneyline. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 85.2 to 83.7 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Washington at Phoenix
Final Score
WNBA Pro Pick Results
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Washington Mystics on the -2 ATS. 80% of the public money was on Washington Mystics to win on the moneyline. And, 75% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 81.9 to 80.7 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Washington Mystics on the -1.5 ATS. 74% of the public money was on Washington Mystics to win on the moneyline. And, 76% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 82.9 to 80.7 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Washington Mystics on the +9 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 82.7 to 77.0 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline, Washington winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on Washington Mystics on the +7.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 83.7 to 79.2 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline, Washington winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Phoenix at Washington
Phoenix is seventh in the league in points given up and ninth in defensive rebounding. The offense is fourth from 3-point land (34.1%). Phoenix is on a long road trip, off a 89-76 loss at New York. They've lost three in a row, allowing an average of 86 points. Phoenix is on a 5-2 run OVER the total on the road. Washington's offense is sixth in field goal shooting, while the defense is seventh in shooting allowed. Washington is on a 7-5 run OVER the total. Take Phoenix/Washington OVER the total.
Final Score
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