Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm

Seattle is fourth in the league in points allowed, while the offense ranks fourth in field goal shooting percentage (46%). They've covered two straight on the road, including a 79-71 win at Dallas. Seattle shut down Phoenix when they met last month, winning 77-70 and covering the spread. They come off an 83-77 victory over Dallas, shooting 48.4% while getting 30 points from the bench. Phoenix has a slew of injuries. Starters Kahleah Copper (left knee) and Alyssa Thomas (15.2 ppg, 7.2 rpg) are out, along with forward Natasha Mack (back) and guard Megan McConnell (knee). They're 10th in the WNBA in scoring. Play Seattle. 

Phoenix is No. 1 in the WNBA defensively in points given up (72.5 per game). They brought in Alyssa Thomas, a six-time All-Defensive player. Seattle is fourth in the league in points allowed, with an offense 12th in the 13-team league in points scored. The offense shoots 37.6% from the field and is ranked 11th from the free-throw line (66.7%). Seattle is on a 13-5 run UNDER the total. Take Phoenix/Seattle UNDER the total. 

The main focus in this game likely will be the expected final home game for Phoenix superstar Diana Taurasi as both teams' seeds are set for the playoffs. Seattle is 6-1 ATS the past seven meetings, including a 90-66 blowout victory on Sept. 7. The Storm have won four of their past five games and they are 7-0-1 ATS their past eight Thursday games. The Mercury are 0-8 ATS their past eight games against teams with winning records, 3-7-1 ATS their past 11 games overall and just 1-5 ATS their past six home contests. The Storm have gone UNDER five of seven overall and five of seven on the road. Phoenix is 9-3 UNDER versus teams with winning records and Seattle is 20-7 UNDER versus opponents with losing records. Take the Storm and the UNDER.

This is a tough scheduling spot for Seattle, which is playing its fourth game in seven days and the first three were on the road three times zones away. The Storm lost at New York 77-70 on Thursday after splitting two games against Connecticut. The Liberty shot just 39 percent overall, but hit 12 of 27 3-pointers to pull out the win. Phoenix is 8-3 ATS its past 11 games versus Western Conference opponents and the Mercury are 6-2-1 OVER playing with one day of rest. Phoenix is 5-2-1 OVER coming off a loss and Seattle is 19-7-1 OVER its past 27 Saturday games. The Storm are 2-7 ATS with one day's rest and 2-9 ATS their past 11 games overall. Also, Seattle is 0-7 ATS against teams with losing records and it hasn't covered the number its past four home games. Take the Mercury and the OVER.