This pick was released to clients on August 11, 2023 at 10:38AM ET.
img WNBA

Washington at Las Vegas

August 11, 2023
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Washington +18.5 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Washington +1260 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 6.8)
Result:
LOSS

Washington is once again one of the better defensive teams in the WNBA, fourth in points allowed while holding opponents to 43.86% shooting. They're getting outscored by a half-a-point per game, the fifth-best differential. Washington is third in the league from the charity stripe (82.3%) and is 23-8 ATS against teams that shoot 33% or better from long range. Las Vegas is comfortably ahead in the standings with less urgency. Two games ago, Las Vegas was a 5-point favorite versus New York and got blown out, 99-61. Their bid to match the 1998 Houston Comets for most wins in league history is now over. They're home after a grueling stretch playing eight of the last 11 on the road. Las Vegas is 23-52 ATS off a divisional road win, plus 21-39 ATS at home after covering three of the last four. And WNBA double-digit home favorites are 115-186 ATS after a spread cover. Back the big dog to keep it close with a decent chance to pull the upset. Play Washington ATS as a Max Play + on the moneyline. 

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Washington Mystics
21
27
26
15
89
Las Vegas Aces img
30
27
31
25
113
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free WNBA picks and predictions.

Join 423,666 Subscribers!