Washington at Las Vegas

Washington is once again one of the better defensive teams in the WNBA, fourth in points allowed while holding opponents to 43.86% shooting. They're getting outscored by a half-a-point per game, the fifth-best differential. Washington is third in the league from the charity stripe (82.3%) and is 23-8 ATS against teams that shoot 33% or better from long range. Las Vegas is comfortably ahead in the standings with less urgency. Two games ago, Las Vegas was a 5-point favorite versus New York and got blown out, 99-61. Their bid to match the 1998 Houston Comets for most wins in league history is now over. They're home after a grueling stretch playing eight of the last 11 on the road. Las Vegas is 23-52 ATS off a divisional road win, plus 21-39 ATS at home after covering three of the last four. And WNBA double-digit home favorites are 115-186 ATS after a spread cover. Back the big dog to keep it close with a decent chance to pull the upset. Play Washington ATS as a Max Play + on the moneyline.