Washington at Connecticut

Both of these teams play lower-scoring affairs in division games. While Washington averages nearly 80 in non-division games, they score just 74.6 in division matchups. Connecticut scores nearly 85 per game out of division but 77.7 in-division, where their defense also shores up. For this reason, these teams have combined for a 20-15 UNDER mark in division games. When playing at home vs. a winning team, the Sun are 44-27 UNDER. They are also 37-20 UNDER when facing a team that shoots well (47%+ from the field). I like this game to go UNDER.