Seattle at Minnesota

Seattle enters today 3-7 under new head coach Sonia Raman, but the surface record conceals something the efficiency numbers make plain: their defense has been one of the better units in the league, holding opponents to the third-fewest points per game in the WNBA and ranking sixth in defensive efficiency. Minnesota is genuinely dominant — leading the league in offensive and defensive efficiency and net margin — and its 8-2 record reflects it. But asking any team to win by double digits against a squad that doesn't give up points freely is a different proposition than the moneyline. The Storm's deliberate pace further limits how high the score can run in either direction. The spread is the primary play — getting this many points against a defense-first club is where the value lives. At the ML price, the math is simple: at roughly one win needed in every nine outings to break even, the Storm don't need to be good most afternoons — just better than once every nine. Take Seattle on the spread and take a flyer on the moneyline today.