2013 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks
August 01, 2013
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Phoenix at Seattle
Thursday 08/01 10:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Phoenix -3.5 (-103) (risk 1 to return 1) RESULT: loss
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 153.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1) RESULT: loss
For the longest time, the Seattle Storm have had very competitive teams, and were a wave of destruction at home. The problem is that their top two players, Lauren Jackson and Sue Bird, are both out for the season. Things have not been the same, as the Storm simply can't overcome the huge losses. They are below .500 at home on the season. Phoenix should regain the services of both Britney Griner and Diana Turasi for this one, which makes them a dangerous team once again. Phoenix has played very well on the road of late where they are 5-1 ATS in their last six, and with a full compliment of players against a Seattle team that is now very thin, I look for Phoenix to make a run in the second half, and get the win and cover in Seattle. Go with the road team here and back Phoenix. Also take the UNDER. While 5-3 to the OVER at home this season, Phoenix is 6-4 UNDER on the road and 7-5 UNDER in division games this season. Seattle is 12-5 to the UNDER overall, including 5-2 UNDER at home and 4-1 UNDER in their last five games overall. Phoenix games are very high-scoring, but the home team usually dictates the pace in the WNBA and Seattle's home games have averaged just 142.2 points per game this season - a full 11 points lower than this total. Dating back to last season, Phoenix is 11-3 UNDER on the road vs. losing teams. Seattle is also 30-17 UNDER the past three seasons when facing teams like Phoenix that jack up 16 or more three-pointers per game. The Storm are also 39-18 UNDER over that span when facing good offensive teams (those averaging 77+ points per game). Take Seattle and the UNDER here.