The past four meetings have gone UNDER and Phoenix is 27-18-2 UNDER on the season. The Mercury went UNDER all three games against the Liberty and they are 14-3 UNDER following a win. The Mercury are 7-1-1 UNDER their past nine Sunday games and 24-6-1 UNDER versus teams with winning records. Minnesota has stayed UNDER four of five, including its 75-74 victory over Golden State on Wednesday when the Lynx scored only 28 points in the first half. Phoenix allowed New York just 69.7 points per game in the first round of the playoffs. The Mercury have yielded just 66.3 points their past three games. Take the UNDER.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 21, 2025 at 11:55AM ET.
Phoenix at Minnesota
September 21, 2025
2 units on Game Total UNDER 159.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get free WNBA Picks
I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.